Top Performing Decklists
| Deck | Creator | Record | Best Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mono-Red Aggro | jonah strommenger | 6-2 | None |
Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)
Win Rate Impact
Top Table Win Rate
Meta Trend
Sample Size
Tournament Results
Average Copies
Archetypes Using This Card:
Meta Performance Analysis
Needle Drop ranks #652 out of approximately 5129 cards in raw efficiency (top 13%).
Game Impact Factor
Color Differential
Red average: 49.2%
Performance compared to other Red cardsBased on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Needle Drop is a very strong card that performs well in most contexts.
Recommended number of copies: 3
Win Rate Timeline
Card Efficiency Analysis
Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
Relative Efficiency
Performance Efficiency: 13.01 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)
At 1 mana, the average win rate in the format is 47.4%. Needle Drop has a win rate of 52.1%, making it 9.9% better than other 1-mana cards.
Top Performing Partners
| Card Name | Type | Deck Count | Win Rate | 1st Places |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Voldaren Epicure | Creature — Vampire | 5 | 54.0% | 0 |
| Monastery Swiftspear | Creature — Human Monk | 8 | 40.3% | 0 |
| Fireblast | Instant | 15 | 39.8% | 0 |
| Lightning Bolt | Instant | 18 | 39.7% | 0 |
| Molten Rain | Sorcery | 10 | 39.0% | 0 |
| Smash to Smithereens | Instant | 13 | 38.9% | 0 |
| Searing Blaze | Instant | 13 | 38.8% | 0 |
| Chain Lightning | Sorcery | 16 | 38.1% | 0 |
| Ghitu Lavarunner | Creature — Human Wizard | 8 | 38.0% | 0 |
| Lava Spike | Sorcery — Arcane | 14 | 37.3% | 0 |
Card Synergy Analysis
Cards that perform better with Needle Drop than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.
| Card Name | Type | Mana | Decks | Win Rate Together | Win Rate Apart | Synergy Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molten Rain | Sorcery | 3 | 7 | 58.1% | 54.2% | +3.9% |
| Monastery Swiftspear | Creature — Human Monk | 1 | 7 | 56.2% | 54.5% | +1.8% |
| Ghyrson Starn, Kelermorph | Legendary Creature — Tyranid Human | 3 | 5 | 52.9% | 51.8% | +1.2% |
| Grapeshot | Sorcery | 2 | 5 | 52.9% | 52.1% | +0.9% |
| Voldaren Epicure | Creature — Vampire | 1 | 5 | 56.0% | 55.2% | +0.8% |
| Kessig Flamebreather | Creature — Human Shaman | 2 | 5 | 52.9% | 53.3% | -0.4% |
| Thermo-Alchemist | Creature — Human Shaman | 2 | 14 | 50.9% | 51.3% | -0.4% |
| Counterspell | Instant | 2 | 5 | 52.9% | 54.0% | -1.1% |
| Lightning Bolt | Instant | 1 | 14 | 52.9% | 54.1% | -1.1% |
| Brainstorm | Instant | 1 | 5 | 52.9% | 54.2% | -1.2% |
Top Archetypes
| Archetype | Deck Count | % of Archetype | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mono-Red Aggro | 15 | 3.5% | 39.8% |
| Izzet Prowess | 6 | 0.6% | 26.1% |
Statistics Explanation
| Statistic | Description | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Win Rate Impact | How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. | (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks) |
| Top Table Win Rate | A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. | ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight) |
| Meta Trend | Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. | (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period) |
| Confidence Factor | A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). | log10(Number of decks + 1) |
| Average Copies | The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. | ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks) |
| Card Synergy Score | Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. | (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates) |
| Raw Efficiency | Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. | (Win rate) / (Mana value) |
| Relative Efficiency | How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. | ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value) |
| Performance Efficiency | Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. | (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value) |
| Game Impact Factor | A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. | Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100) |
| Color Differential | How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. | Win rate - Average win rate for same color |
All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.